Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.214912 0.247051 0.283286 0.327347 0.379716 0.440266 0.516000
2025-11-02 0.164783 0.206578 0.258830 0.329757 0.424755 0.549377 0.728210
2025-11-09 0.135480 0.180420 0.240866 0.329757 0.459983 0.648386 0.950357
2025-11-16 0.115279 0.160804 0.225607 0.327156 0.487150 0.738271 1.180868
2025-11-23 0.099914 0.144720 0.211536 0.321935 0.506973 0.818718 1.416779
2025-11-30 0.091108 0.136609 0.207444 0.330465 0.549221 0.944132 1.768806
2025-12-07 0.081231 0.125274 0.196298 0.324852 0.565134 1.025403 2.060937
2025-12-14 0.074426 0.117865 0.190296 0.326711 0.594377 1.138115 2.457354
2025-12-21 0.068363 0.110866 0.183903 0.326531 0.619220 1.247463 2.886111
2025-12-28 0.064392 0.106922 0.182242 0.334807 0.662597 1.407676 3.506457
2026-01-04 0.060468 0.102574 0.179212 0.339755 0.699728 1.563468 4.184112
2026-01-11 0.057010 0.098665 0.176464 0.344732 0.737860 1.732394 4.982236
2026-01-18 0.054337 0.096005 0.175938 0.354717 0.791011 1.959451 6.102717
2026-01-25 0.051150 0.092040 0.172371 0.357521 0.827591 2.154311 7.235566
2026-02-01 0.048031 0.087884 0.167906 0.357547 0.857162 2.339275 8.456100
2026-02-08 0.044981 0.083561 0.162580 0.354689 0.878466 2.506687 9.726126
2026-02-15 0.042002 0.079098 0.156456 0.348948 0.890567 2.649153 10.995825
2026-02-22 0.040483 0.077500 0.156389 0.358330 0.948990 2.973803 13.455513
2026-03-01 0.037954 0.073545 0.150626 0.352155 0.959087 3.127766 15.141581
2026-03-08 0.036213 0.071124 0.148104 0.354200 0.995770 3.399854 17.818032
2026-03-15 0.034467 0.068539 0.144927 0.354002 1.025363 3.657353 20.708094
2026-03-22 0.033420 0.067407 0.145066 0.363107 1.089053 4.091111 25.442786
2026-03-29 0.032225 0.065837 0.143978 0.368553 1.141682 4.503035 30.658475